Cycle Dashboard
BTC:—
Top Risk
Bottom Probability
Bear Risk
Liquidity Stress
Action
Accumulate / continue DCA
Inputs (latest)
Funding (8h, bps)
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Median of last 5×8h funding bars in basis points. High positive = leveraged longs; negative = capitulation.
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OI Δ 24h (%)
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Open interest 24h % change. Fast increases can precede squeezes; sharp drops = liquidations/flushes.
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ETF net flow (USD)
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Net capital into spot ETFs. Large inflows often align with late-stage FOMO; big outflows with fear.
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Mayer Multiple
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Price / 200DMA. >2.0 warning, ~2.4 extreme historically near tops; <0.8 bottom territory.
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Dist. to 20W EMA (%)
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Distance from the 20-week EMA (EMA140 proxy). Large positive = overheating; large negative = oversold.
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Fear & Greed (0–100)
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Composite sentiment. >70/80 = extreme greed (top risk). <30/20 = extreme fear (bottom prob).
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Pi Distance (MA111 / 2×MA350)
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BTC: official Pi indicator; Alts: analog. Ratio near/above 1.0 aligns with top zones.
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Pi Cycle Top (cross)
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Cross occurs when MA111 rises above 2×MA350—classic BTC top signal.
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DXY
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Strong USD (rising DXY) tightens global liquidity—bearish for crypto risk.
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10y Real Yield (%)
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High/fast-rising real yields pull capital from risk assets; low/negative supports crypto.
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